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Full lifetime cost analysis of battery, plug-in hybrid and FCEVs in China in the near future

Zhihua CAI, Xunmin OU, Qian ZHANG, Xiliang ZHANG

《能源前沿（英文）》 2012年第6卷第2期页码 107-111 doi: 10.1007/s11708-012-0182-1

摘要： This paper analyzes the full lifetime cost of battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) in China in the near future. The full lifetime cost comprises the initial and periodic cost of owning and operating the vehicle. Compared with the conventional gasoline vehicles, the full lifetime cost of the BEVs, PHEVs and FCEVs are approximately 1.5, 0.5 and 2.3 times more in the short term, respectively, due to the higher initial costs and higher non-energy-related costs though the fuel costs are lower. The results also suggest that with reasonably anticipatable technological progress in the long term, the lifetime cost of advanced electric vehicles (EVs) can be close to that of gasoline vehicles. It is found that two aspects of action are most important to make BEVs cost-effective: to support technology improvement to decrease the high cost of BEV and to formulate high energy cost of operating the conventional gasoline car. Moreover, it is important to decrease the non-energy operating costs including registration fee, tax rate and etc., of BEVs at the same time.

关键词： electric vehicle (EV) life time cost China

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Life-cycle cost analysis of optimal timing of pavement preservation

Zilong WANG,Hao WANG

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2017年第11卷第1期页码 17-26 doi: 10.1007/s11709-016-0369-3

摘要： Optimal application of pavement preservation or preventive maintenance is critical for highway agencies to allocate the limited budget for different treatments. This study developed an integrated life-cycle cost analysis (LCCA) model to quantify the impact of pavement preservation on agency cost and vehicle operation cost (VOC) and analyzed the optimal timing of preservation treatments. The international roughness index (IRI) data were extracted from the long-term pavement performance (LTPP) program specific pavement studies 3 (SPS-3) to determine the long-term effectiveness of preservation treatments on IRI deterioration. The traffic loading and the initial IRI value significantly affects life extension and the benefit of agency cost caused by pavement preservation. The benefit in VOC is one to two orders greater in magnitude as compared to the benefit in agency cost. The optimal timing calculated based on VOC is always earlier than the optimal timing calculated based on agency cost. There are considerable differences among the optimal timing of three preservation treatments.

关键词： pavement preservation life-cycle cost analysis agency cost vehicle operation cost

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Life cycle cost savings analysis on traditional drainage systems from low impact development strategies

Pengfei ZHANG, Samuel T. ARIARATNAM

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2021年第8卷第1期页码 88-97 doi: 10.1007/s42524-020-0063-y

摘要： Areas that are covered with natural vegetation have been converted into asphalt, concrete, or roofed structures and have increased surface impermeability and decreased natural drainage capability. Conventional drainage systems were built to mimic natural drainage patterns to prevent the occurrence of waterlogging in developed sites. These drainage systems consist of two major components: 1) a stormwater conduit system, and 2) a runoff storage system. Runoff storage systems contain retention basins and drywells that are used to store and percolate runoff, whereas conduit systems are combination of catch basins and conduit pipes used to collect and transport runoff. The construction of these drainage systems is costly and may cause significant environmental disturbance. In this study, low impact development (LID) methods that consist of extensive green roofs (GRs) and permeable interlocking concrete pavements (PICPs) are applied in real-world construction projects. Construction project documents were reviewed, and related cost information was gathered through the accepted bidding proposals and interviews of specialty contractors in the metropolitan area of Phoenix, Arizona. Results indicate that the application of both LID methods to existing projects can save an average of 27.2% in life cycle costs (LCC) for a 50-year service life and 18.7% in LCC for a 25-year service life on the proposed drainage system, respectively.

关键词： low impact development traditional drainage system hydraulic benefits life-cycle cost

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Sustainability of steel structures: towards an integrated approach to life-time engineering design

Raffaele LANDOLFO, Lucrezia CASCINI, Francesco PORTIOLI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第3期页码 304-314 doi: 10.1007/s01709-011-0123-9

摘要： Nowadays, the construction sector is more and more oriented toward the promotion of sustainability in all its activities. The goal to achieve is the optimization of performances, over the whole life-cycle, with respect to environmental, economic and social requirements. According to the latest advances, the concept of sustainability applied to constructions covers a number of branches such as life-cycle costing, ecology, durability and even structural design. Several procedures and design tools have been implemented in the framework of international research. Indeed the current trend in civil engineering research is moving towards life-time engineering, with the aim to implement integrated methodologies to consider as a whole all the sustainability requirements according to time-dependent multi-performance-based design approaches. Following a general introduction of the concept of sustainability applied to constructions, this paper presents an overview of life-time engineering methodologies according to the current state-of-the-art. In particular the methods currently received by International Standards are discussed. A special focus is devoted to the durability design of metal structures with respect to the degradation phenomena able to impair the structural capacity over time. Finally a proposal towards an integrated approach to life-time engineering design of steel structures and needs for further advances are presented.

关键词： sustainability life-time engineering performance based design durability metal structures

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Accelerated life-time test of MEA durability under vehicle operating conditions in PEM fuel cell

Tian TIAN, Jianjun TANG, Wei GUO, Mu PAN

《能源前沿（英文）》 2017年第11卷第3期页码 326-333 doi: 10.1007/s11708-017-0489-z

摘要： In this paper, a novel accelerated test method was proposed to analyze the durability of MEA, considering the actual operation of the fuel cell vehicle. The proposed method includes 7 working conditions: open circuit voltage (OCV), idling, rated output, overload, idling-rated cycle, idling-overload cycle, and OCV-idling cycle. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method can effectively destroy the MEA in a short time (165 h). Moreover, the degradation mechanism of MEA was analyzed by measuring the polarization curve, CV, SEM and TEM. This paper may provide a new research direction for improving the durability of fuel cell.

关键词： polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell accelerated life-time test load cycling test durability

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Analysis on carbon emission reduction intensity of fuel cell vehicles from a life-cycle perspective

《能源前沿（英文）》 doi: 10.1007/s11708-023-0909-1

摘要： The hydrogen fuel cell vehicle is rapidly developing in China for carbon reduction and neutrality. This paper evaluated the life-cycle cost and carbon emission of hydrogen energy via lots of field surveys, including hydrogen production and packing in chlor-alkali plants, transport by tube trailers, storage and refueling in hydrogen refueling stations (HRSs), and application for use in two different cities. It also conducted a comparative study for battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). The result indicates that hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (FCV) has the best environmental performance but the highest energy cost. However, a sufficient hydrogen supply can significantly reduce the carbon intensity and FCV energy cost of the current system. The carbon emission for FCV application has the potential to decrease by 73.1% in City A and 43.8% in City B. It only takes 11.0%–20.1% of the BEV emission and 8.2%–9.8% of the ICEV emission. The cost of FCV driving can be reduced by 39.1% in City A. Further improvement can be obtained with an economical and “greener” hydrogen production pathway.

关键词： hydrogen energy life-cycle assessment (LCA) fuel cell vehicle carbon emission energy cost

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Environmental, social, and economic assessment of energy utilization of crop residue in China

Yueling ZHANG, Junjie LI, Huan LIU, Guangling ZHAO, Yajun TIAN, Kechang XIE

《能源前沿（英文）》 2021年第15卷第2期页码 308-319 doi: 10.1007/s11708-020-0696-x

摘要： This paper aims to discuss an environmental, social, and economic analysis of energy utilization of crop residues from life cycle perspectives in China. The methodologies employed to achieve this objective are environmental life cycle assessment (E-LCA), life cycle cost (LCC), and social life cycle assessment (S-LCA). Five scenarios are developed based on the conversion technologies and final bioenergy products. The system boundaries include crop residue collection, transportation, pre-treatment, and conversion process. The replaced amounts of energy are also taken into account in the E-LCA analysis. The functional unit is defined as 1 MJ of energy produced. Eight impact categories are considered besides climate change in E-LCA. The investment capital cost and salary cost are collected and compared in the life cycle of the scenarios. Three stakeholders and several subcategories are considered in the S-LCA analysis defined by UNEP/SETAS guidelines. The results show that the energy utilization of crop residue has carbon emission factors of 0.09–0.18 kg (CO eq per 1 MJ), and presents a net carbon emissions reduction of 0.03–0.15 kg (CO eq per 1 MJ) compared with the convectional electricity or petrol, but the other impacts should be paid attention to in the biomass energy scenarios. The energy utilization of crop residues can bring economic benefit to local communities and the society, but the working conditions of local workers need to be improved in future biomass energy development.

关键词： crop residue life cycle assessment life cycle cost social life cycle assessment energy production

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基于飞机结构寿命包线的飞机结构单机寿命监控

何宇廷

《中国工程科学》 2006年第8卷第6期页码 23-27

摘要：

在分析基准使用条件下飞机结构寿命包线的基础上，给出飞机结构在非基准使用条件下的寿命包线的绘制方法，阐明了在非基准使用条件下对飞机结构进行单机寿命监控的原理与方法。最后以飞机首翻后进行第二次大修的大修间隔期监控为例进行了分析说明。

关键词：飞机结构寿命包线寿命监控大修间隔期

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基于寿命周期备件费用的系统可靠性优化设计

邵松世,李庆民,李华

《中国工程科学》 2015年第17卷第5期页码 25-30

摘要：

针对以往系统可靠性优化研究中，系统费用仅包括研制成本，未考虑系统在列装期间运行费用的问题，应用一种基于寿命周期内备件需求估计的备件费用简易计算方法，对两种非线性可靠性-价格函数情况，以系统组成单元不可修、寿命分布服从指数规律为例，开展了以系统价格和备件费用之和最小为目标的可靠性分配优化研究。仿真试验结果表明：该方法简便易行，得到的优化方案更加合理，能避免单纯追求系统价格最低、却在装备使用阶段付出高昂费用的过度优化结果，能有效降低系统在全寿命期间的运行成本。

关键词：寿命周期；备件费用；可靠性优化；串并联系统；遗传算法

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多式联运的最短时间路径-运输费用模型研究

魏众,申金升,黄爱玲,张智文,石定寰

《中国工程科学》 2006年第8卷第8期页码 61-64

摘要：

随着经济的迅速发展，单一的运输方式越来越不能满足来自客户的敏捷制造、快速响应市场、物流供应链管理等诸多方面的需求，多式联运为之提供了良好的解决方案；多式联运运输网络考虑了节点间的运输时间、节点处的运输方式转换时间以及可能发生的货运延迟；给出了多式联运下的路径最短时间模型，并根据求得的最短时间路径提供了相应的运输费用模型，为多式联运的相关研究工作提供了理论基础。

关键词：多式联运最短时间路径运输费用

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可持续发展工程结构全寿命周期

金伟良,钟小平

《中国工程科学》 2012年第14卷第3期页码 100-107

摘要：

以结构全寿命周期为研究时域，运用结构全寿命设计的新理念，构架了工程结构全寿命设计的目标体系，并从目标体系出发，结合工程结构的特点，分析了设计中结构性能、成本、使用寿命的内涵及相互关系。在综合众多影响因素的基础上构建了工程结构全寿命周期设计理论的研究框架，确定了工程结构性能指标、经济指标及时间指标在全寿命设计理论体系中的核心地位，提出了基于性能设计的耐久性极限状态设计新理念，并分析了性能极限状态所具有的特点。

关键词：基于可持续发展的设计理论结构全寿命周期结构可靠性结构寿命周期成本结构使用寿命

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Levelized costs of the energy chains of new energy vehicles targeted at carbon neutrality in China

《工程管理前沿（英文）》页码 392-408 doi: 10.1007/s42524-022-0212-6

摘要： The diffusion of new energy vehicles (NEVs), such as battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs), is critical to the transportation sector’s deep decarbonization. The cost of energy chains is an important factor in the diffusion of NEVs. Although researchers have addressed the technological learning effect of NEVs and the life cycle emissions associated with the diffusion of NEVs, little work has been conducted to analyze the life cycle costs of different energy chains associated with different NEVs in consideration of technological learning potential. Thus, relevant information on investment remains insufficient to promote the deployment of NEVs. This study proposes a systematic framework that includes various (competing or coordinated) energy chains of NEVs formed with different technologies of power generation and transmission, hydrogen production and transportation, power-to-liquid fuel, and fuel transportation. The levelized costs of three typical carbon-neutral energy chains are investigated using the life cycle cost model and considering the technological learning effect. Results show that the current well-to-pump levelized costs of the energy chains in China for BEVs, FCVs, and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) are approximately 3.60, 4.31, and 2.21 yuan/GJ, respectively, and the well-to-wheel levelized costs are 4.50, 6.15, and 7.51 yuan/GJ, respectively. These costs primarily include raw material costs, and they vary greatly for BEVs and FCVs from resource and consumer costs. In consideration of the technological learning effect, the energy chains’ well-to-wheel levelized costs are expected to decrease by 24.82% for BEVs, 27.12% for FCVs, and 19.25% for ICEVs by 2060. This work also summarizes policy recommendations on developing energy chains to promote the diffusion of NEVs in China.

关键词： energy chain new energy vehicle internal combustion engine vehicle life cycle cost technological learning

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综合使用飞行小时在飞机构件腐蚀疲劳寿命分析中的应用

林明,金平,孙明礼

《中国工程科学》 2001年第3卷第3期页码 65-67

摘要：

飞机使用环境谱中飞行环境谱和停放环境谱的组合就是飞行─停放─飞行环境谱。大多数军用飞机地面停放时间占飞机使用寿命的90％以上。海军飞机所处的高温、高湿、高盐雾腐蚀环境对飞机使用寿命有很大影响。腐蚀疲劳直接影响疲劳裂纹形成寿命。飞机使用寿命必须应用飞机使用环境谱，考虑飞行小时、日历时间和综合使用飞行小时。列举海军某直升机主桨毂轴向铰轴颈裂纹故障，通过波音公司飞机结构疲劳分析方法，在飞行小时、日历时间和综合使用飞行小时方面对其翻修期进行了探讨。

关键词：腐蚀腐蚀疲劳飞行小时日历时间综合使用飞行小时

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全生命周期成本分析框架下的电动公交充电器部署和车队管理 Article

曾子凌, 王帅安, 曲小波

《工程（英文）》 2023年第21卷第2期页码 45-60 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2022.07.019

摘要：

尽管城市交通电气化快速发展，但电池电动公交车（EB）车队的系统规划和管理进展却较为落后。本研究首先综述了影响电池电动系统的基本问题，包括充电站部署、电池尺寸、公交车调度和生命周期分析。目前，EB系统的规划和运行是按顺序进行的，公交车调度是在公交车队和基础设施部署完毕后进行的，这导致了资源利用率低和资源浪费。对此，本文提出了混合整数规划模型整合充电站部署和公交车队管理，以尽可能低的生命周期成本（LCC），包括所有权、运营、维护和排放费用，缩小最佳规划与运营之间的差距。引入了分支定价算法，以减少寻找最佳解决方案所需的计算工作量。本研究还通过分析真实案
例，与目前的公交运营策略和充电站布局相比，一条公交线路的LCC优化后可显著降低30.4%。提出的方法不仅可以进行生命周期分析，还可以为交通部门和运营商提供可靠的充电桩部署及单线和多线的公交调度计划，这两者都是未来具有高电气化普及率的交通系统中决策支持的关键要求，此研究也有助于推动可持续交通的发展。

关键词：电动公交车充电站部署电池尺寸公交车调度生命周期分析

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Analyzing the distinguishing factors that affect childhood obesity in South Korea

So Jung Yang, Hun-Sung Kim, Kun-Ho Yoon

《医学前沿（英文）》 2018年第12卷第6期页码 707-716 doi: 10.1007/s11684-018-0660-x

摘要：

Understanding obesity in children is crucial because it can lead to adulthood obesity and result in fatal chronic diseases. Distinctive factors associated with obesity in adults have been described, but distinctive factors related to children remain unclear. We analyzed the correlation between the percentage of body mass index and lifestyle habits by conducting surveys on physical, nutritional, and psychological factors, and we used annual physical examination data to compare different traits among elementary school students (n = 197) and middle school students (n = 461). Our study revealed that the computing hours in elementary school students with overweight and obesity were significantly correlated with the percentage of body mass index (r = 0.29 on school days and r = 0.35 on days off, all P<0.05). No statistically significant difference was found (all P>0.05) in the computing hours of middle school students with overweight and obesity. Childhood obesity can cause depression and reduce children’s quality of life because of their distorted body perception. In conclusion, physical factors directly affecting childhood obesity and psychological and environmental factors surrounding a child should be considered.

关键词： screen time quality of life eating habits childhood obesity percentage of body mass index